Executive Summary
This digest covers $283.8 million in federal contract obligations from June 5, 2026, split 2 defense-related and 3 civilian. The primary theme is border security and space R&D investment, with ElbitAmerica's $86.1M DHS/CBP surveillance award and Analytical Mechanics Associates' $94.2M NASA entry systems contract providing the highest-conviction signals.
Deloitte's $99.4M civilian IT support contract at USDA signals stable but low-growth services revenue. A key risk is that contracts like ElbitAmerica's fixed-price delivery order have zero outlays to date, posing execution risk, while Lockheed Martin's two small awards ($3.2M and $0.7M) are immaterial to revenue.
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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Contract Deobligations Alert digest from June 04, 2026.
Investment Signals (3)
- ElbitAmerica wins $86.1M DHS border surveillance award, demonstrates competitive win in fixed-price contract (MEDIUM)▲
ElbitAmerica's $86.1M firm-fixed-price delivery order from DHS/CBP for tower and surveillance consolidation, with total potential $114.5M through May 2029, signals sustained border security investment and competitive strength under full-and-open competition.
- Analytical Mechanics Associates secures $94.2M NASA small business set-aside for entry systems R&D (HIGH)▲
Analytical Mechanics Associates, a small business, won a $94.2M cost-plus-fixed-fee NASA contract (potential $111.8M) for entry systems technology R&D, providing stable revenue through March 2025 with low pricing risk due to cost-plus structure.
- Deloitte Consulting LLP's $99.4M USDA financial system support reflects stable civilian services but variable cost risk (MEDIUM)▲
Deloitte's labor-hours delivery order with USDA Food and Nutrition Service (2022-2027) has $78.1M already outlayed (79%), indicating ongoing engagement, but labor-hours pricing carries variable cost exposure and limited growth.
Risk Flags (3)
- Execution [HIGH RISK]▼
ElbitAmerica's $86.1M firm-fixed-price contract with DHS/CBP has zero outlays to date; any cost overruns on tower consolidation and surveillance equipment would impact margins.
- Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Deloitte Consulting has $78.1M outlayed on a single USDA delivery order (79% of obligation), indicating heavy reliance on a single civilian contract for that business segment.
- Budget [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Analytical Mechanics Associates' NASA R&D contract expires March 2025; NASA budget uncertainty for space technology could delay or reduce follow-on awards.
Opportunities (3)
- ◆
ElbitAmerica's $86.1M border surveillance win may lead to larger DHS/CBP tower consolidation contracts, especially if options are exercised (total potential $114.5M).
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Analytical Mechanics Associates' small business set-aside at NASA positions it for follow-on entry systems R&D contracts, leveraging incumbency and NASA's commitment to small business goals.
- ◆
Deloitte's $99.4M USDA delivery order has $24.3M in subawards, suggesting partnership opportunities for smaller firms and potential for Deloitte to expand into other civilian financial system modernization efforts.
Sector Themes (2)
- ◆
DHS/CBP awarded $86.1M to ElbitAmerica for tower and surveillance consolidation, with total potential $114.5M, reflecting sustained demand for domestic perimeter detection and surveillance systems.
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Analytical Mechanics Associates' $94.2M cost-plus-fixed-fee contract for entry systems R&D reinforces NASA's steady investment in space technology and small business set-asides.
Watch List (3)
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Elbit Systems Ltd", "reason"=>"ElbitAmerica's $86.1M DHS/CBP award has zero outlays; execution and revenue recognition are critical to validate the win.", "trigger"=>"First outlay transaction reported on FPDS or company earnings call"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Analytical Mechanics Associates, Inc.", "reason"=>"NASA entry systems R&D contract expires March 2025; re-compete will determine incumbency retention.", "trigger"=>"NASA solicitation for follow-on entry systems R&D contract"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Deloitte Consulting LLP", "reason"=>"USDA delivery order has $78.1M outlayed (79%); any adjustments or extensions signal funding health.", "trigger"=>"USDA modification or new delivery order for financial system support"}
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