Executive Summary
The analyzed period features a single federal professional services contract totaling $92,709,653 in obligations, entirely civilian with zero defense-related awards, dominated by DHS/TSA's security equipment deployment needs. Leidos, Inc. holds this firm fixed price delivery order awarded via full and open competition, providing an estimated $19.5 million in annual revenue over the remaining performance period ending July 13, 2026.
The highest-conviction signal is neutral (4/10 strength), reflecting fully obligated value with $41,642,237 outlayed to date (45% execution) and steady TSA checkpoint support under NAICS 541330. No unexercised options signal revenue visibility but limited growth upside. Key risk is high pricing risk inherent to firm fixed price terms amid ongoing performance. Watch outlay progress beyond $41,642,237 and completion by 2026-07-13.
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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Federal Professional Services Contracts digest from May 09, 2026.
Investment Signals (2)
- Leidos, Inc. Fully Obligated $92,709,653 TSA Delivery Order (LOW)▲
Firm fixed price award via full and open competition for Security Equipment Deployment Services (SEDS), with $41,642,237 outlayed to date on 4.75-year period ending 2026-07-13, equating to ~$19.5M annual revenue estimate.
- High Pricing Risk on Leidos' $92.7M DHS/TSA Firm Fixed Price Contract (MEDIUM)▲
Firm fixed price structure exposes Leidos to performance cost overruns on $92,709,653 obligation, with only 45% ($41,642,237) outlayed midway through period.
Risk Flags (2)
- Execution [HIGH RISK]▼
High pricing risk on Leidos, Inc.'s firm fixed price $92,709,653 delivery order from TSA/DHS, as structure transfers cost overrun risk to contractor with $41,642,237 outlayed to date.
- Competition [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Unknown competition signal on Leidos, Inc.'s full and open competition award from TSA/DHS, potentially vulnerable to re-compete post-2026.
Opportunities (1)
- ◆
Leidos, Inc. positioned for steady execution on $92,709,653 TSA SEDS contract through mid-2026, with $50,067,416 remaining obligation potential.
Sector Themes (1)
- ◆
Leidos, Inc.'s $92,709,653 firm fixed price delivery order supports TSA checkpoint logistics under NAICS 541330, with $41,642,237 outlayed and 24 subawards totaling $5,998,441.
Watch List (2)
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Leidos Holdings, Inc.", "reason"=>"Track outlay progress on $92,709,653 TSA contract, currently at $41,642,237 (45% of total obligation).", "trigger"=>"quarterly obligation updates exceeding pro-rata pace"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Leidos Holdings, Inc.", "reason"=>"Monitor performance completion and subaward execution ($5,998,441 across 24 subs) on DHS/TSA SEDS order.", "trigger"=>"performance end date July 13, 2026; re-compete announcement"}
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