BLOG / 🇺🇸 United States · · daily

Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) — August 04, 2026

Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+)

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

1 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

This digest covers a single, high-value contract modification from August 4, 2026: a $249.2 million firm-fixed-price delivery order awarded to Lockheed Martin's Sikorsky Aircraft by the Department of Homeland Security (Coast Guard).

The contract is entirely civilian (0% defense-related) and represents a sole-source award for H-60 new hulls, including non-recurring engineering and the first 25 hulls, with performance through September 2028. The highest-conviction signal is the sole-source nature of the award, which reinforces Lockheed Martin's competitive moat in rotary-wing aircraft for the Coast Guard. A key risk is the fixed-price structure, which carries execution risk on the non-recurring engineering milestones, and the multi-year timeline exposes revenue to potential budget volatility in future Coast Guard appropriations.

Materiality, sentiment, and priority are scored by Gunpowder’s analysis pipeline. How we score filings →

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from August 02, 2026.

Investment Signals (1)

  • Lockheed Martin's Sikorsky Secures Sole-Source $249M Coast Guard H-60 Hull Order (HIGH)

    The non-competitive award strengthens Lockheed Martin's revenue visibility in the rotary-wing market, providing a multi-year production and development program for the Coast Guard's fleet. The sole-source position signals a durable competitive moat for the H-60 platform.

Risk Flags (2)

  • Execution [MEDIUM RISK]

    The firm-fixed-price structure on a contract involving non-recurring engineering for new hulls creates execution risk; cost overruns on development milestones could compress margins for Lockheed Martin's Sikorsky division.

  • Budget [MEDIUM RISK]

    The contract's 8-year performance period (2021-2028) exposes revenue to potential Coast Guard budget cuts or shifting priorities under future Continuing Resolutions or appropriations cycles.

Opportunities (2)

  • The sole-source award for H-60 hulls positions Lockheed Martin for follow-on delivery orders or modifications for additional hulls, as the Coast Guard continues to modernize its rotary-wing fleet.

  • The contract includes the first 25 hulls, suggesting a larger program of record for the Coast Guard's H-60 fleet replacement, which could lead to multi-billion-dollar sustainment and production opportunities over the next decade.

Sector Themes (1)

  • The $249.2 million sole-source award to Sikorsky for H-60 hulls underscores the Coast Guard's ongoing investment in rotary-wing aircraft for homeland security missions, a stable civilian demand driver.

Watch List (2)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Lockheed Martin (LMT)", "reason" => "Sole-source award for H-60 hulls provides multi-year revenue visibility but carries fixed-price execution risk on non-recurring engineering.", "trigger" => "Quarterly earnings reports for cost performance on the H-60 program; Coast Guard budget requests for FY2027 and FY2028"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Department of Homeland Security (Coast Guard)", "reason" => "The contract's 8-year timeline makes it sensitive to civilian agency budget volatility under Continuing Resolutions.", "trigger" => "FY2027 appropriations bill passage; any Continuing Resolution extending beyond December 2026"}

Get daily alerts with 1 investment signals, 2 risk alerts, 2 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 1 filings

$30/mo after a 14-day free trial — no credit card required. See pricing or explore intelligence streams.

More from: Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+)

🇺🇸 More from United States

View all →