US IPO Pipeline SEC S-1 Filings — May 26, 2026

IPO Pipeline

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

9 high priority 9 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

The IPO pipeline is active with 9 filings on May 26, 2026, spanning diverse sectors including specialty chemicals (VARSAL TECH), biotech (Kardigan, GeoVax), solar construction (SOLV Energy), power solutions (Forgent), SPAC (Crestone), quantum computing via SPAC merger (SeeQC), space/defense (Firefly Aerospace), and a UK-based company (DPC Holdings).

A key theme is the prevalence of mixed sentiment, with most issuers showing significant financial challenges: widening net losses (Kardigan's Q1 2026 loss tripled YoY), declining government revenue (GeoVax's Q1 2026 contract revenue dropped to $0), and material weaknesses in internal controls (VARSAL TECH). Insider activity is notably absent across all filings, suggesting limited management conviction at current valuations. Capital allocation is focused on R&D and expansion, with no dividends or buybacks. The most critical development is SeeQC's SPAC merger with a $65M PIPE, but execution risk exists as only 48.8% of warrant holders have consented (needs 65%). Sector themes reveal a bifurcation: capital-intensive industrial IPOs (VARSAL, SOLV, Forgent) carry high debt and customer concentration, while biotech IPOs (Kardigan, GeoVax) show escalating cash burn with no product revenue. The absence of insider buying and prevalence of net losses suggest investors should be highly selective, focusing on companies with clear catalysts like GeoVax's Phase 3 trial or Firefly's NASA contract.

Materiality, sentiment, and priority are scored by Gunpowder’s analysis pipeline. How we score filings →

Filing types in this digest: S-1

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior US IPO Pipeline SEC S-1 Filings digest from May 22, 2026.

Investment Signals (9)

  • Kardigan (BEARISH)

    Net loss widened to $56.1M in Q1 2026 from $18.0M in Q1 2025 (212% YoY increase), with FY2025 loss of $191.9M vs $88.7M in FY2024. Cash burn accelerating with no revenue, signaling high dilution risk

  • Net loss improved to $21.5M in FY2025 from $24.9M in FY2024 (13.7% improvement), and Q1 2026 loss narrowed to $5.3M from $5.4M. However, government contract revenue dropped to $0 in Q1 2026 from $1.6M in Q1 2025, eliminating all revenue

  • SeeQC (MIXED)

    $65M PIPE investment at $5.00/share provides strong institutional backing for SPAC merger, but warrant amendment requires 65% approval and only 48.8% have consented, creating execution risk

  • Only commercial company with a fully successful Moon landing and $75M NASA MoonFall award, but AE Industrial Partners controls >50% voting power, limiting minority shareholder influence

  • Plans to raise $30M with $15M for acquisitions and $15M for a greenfield plant, but discloses a material weakness in internal controls and expects substantial increased costs as a public company

  • Customer concentration risk is high with Customer A accounting for significant accounts receivable in 2025, and multiemployer pension plan exposure creates liability vulnerabilities

  • History of net losses and negative retained earnings ($0 as of March 31, 2026), with multiple debt facilities (2023 and 2025 Term Loans) and related-party transactions including sponsor fees

  • Adopted U.S. GAAP starting FY2024 (previously IFRS), creating accounting transition risk; GBP/USD rate moved from 0.74 to 0.75 in Q1 2026, adding currency exposure

  • Crestone SPAC (NEUTRAL)

    Detailed modeling shows significant dilution risk with up to 100% redemption scenarios; as a blank check company, no operating business exists yet

Risk Flags (9)

  • Kardigan/Cash Burn [HIGH RISK]

    Net loss grew 212% YoY in Q1 2026 ($56.1M vs $18.0M), with no product revenue and escalating clinical trial costs for Danicamtiv, Ataciguat, and Tonlamarsen

  • Government contract revenue dropped to $0 in Q1 2026 from $1.6M in Q1 2025 due to ATI-RRPV Contract termination on April 11, 2025, eliminating all revenue sources

  • Material weakness in internal controls disclosed, with remediation plan still in early stages (adding a controller); risk of delisting and stock price volatility

  • Only 48.8% of Allegro warrant holders have consented to amendments, short of the 65% required; failure could derail the merger or create unfavorable terms

  • Customer A concentration in accounts receivable for 2025, plus multiemployer pension plan exposure, creating revenue and liability vulnerabilities

  • Multiple debt facilities (2023 and 2025 Term Loans) with related-party transactions and sponsor fees, combined with negative retained earnings, indicate financial strain

  • AE Industrial Partners controls >50% voting power, potentially disadvantaging minority shareholders in governance decisions

  • Adoption of U.S. GAAP from IFRS starting FY2024 creates comparability issues and potential restatement risks; currency exposure from GBP/USD fluctuations

  • Crestone SPAC/No Business [HIGH RISK]

    As a blank check company with no operations, investors face full risk of target selection and potential liquidation if no deal is completed within timeframe

Opportunities (7)

  • GEO-MVA advancing to Phase 3 for mpox/smallpox in 2026, bypassing Phase 1/2 based on EMA scientific advice; net loss improving 13.7% YoY; potential for significant upside if trial succeeds

  • $75M NASA MoonFall award for four drones to lunar south pole, plus Eclipse rocket (16,000 kg to LEO) in final development with Northrop Grumman; only commercial company with successful Moon landing

  • $65M PIPE at $5.00/share from institutional investors; merger with Allegro Merger Corp provides public listing path; quantum computing sector has high growth potential

  • $15M allocated for U.S. specialty chemicals acquisitions could drive inorganic growth; greenfield plant in Middle East targets expanding market

  • Three candidates (Danicamtiv, Ataciguat, Tonlamarsen) targeting large cardiovascular markets; IPO proceeds fund clinical development; potential blockbuster if any succeed

  • Operating in two segments (Existing Infrastructure and New Construction) benefiting from renewable energy trends; IPO could provide capital for expansion

  • Incorporated in Jersey with UK operations; NYSE listing could attract U.S. investors seeking international exposure; no offering size disclosed yet

Sector Themes (6)

  • Biotech Cash Burn Crisis

    Both biotech IPOs (Kardigan and GeoVax) show widening losses with no product revenue; Kardigan's Q1 2026 loss grew 212% YoY, while GeoVax lost all government contract revenue. Investors must focus on pipeline catalysts and cash runway.

  • Industrial IPOs with High Debt

    VARSAL TECH, SOLV Energy, and Forgent Power Solutions all carry significant debt or customer concentration risks. Forgent has multiple term loans, SOLV has pension liabilities, and VARSAL has internal control weaknesses. Capital-intensive IPOs require higher risk premiums.

  • SPAC Market Resurgence

    Two filings involve SPACs: Crestone (traditional blank check) and SeeQC (de-SPAC merger). SeeQC's $65M PIPE shows institutional appetite, but the 48.8% warrant consent rate highlights ongoing execution risk in the SPAC structure.

  • Government Contract Dependency

    Firefly Aerospace and GeoVax both rely heavily on government contracts (NASA, BARDA). GeoVax's contract termination led to zero revenue, while Firefly's $75M NASA award is a key catalyst. This creates binary outcomes tied to government funding cycles.

  • Accounting and Currency Risks

    DPC Holdings' transition from IFRS to U.S. GAAP and GBP/USD exposure (rate moved from 0.74 to 0.75) adds complexity for investors. Cross-border IPOs require careful analysis of accounting policies and FX impacts.

  • Insider Activity Void

    Across all 9 filings, there is zero insider buying or selling activity reported. This absence of management conviction signals that insiders are not backing their own IPOs with personal capital, a bearish indicator for IPO performance.

Watch List (8)

  • Monitor if Allegro warrant holder consent reaches 65% threshold; deadline unknown but critical for merger completion. Watch for additional PIPE investors or revised terms.

  • GEO-MVA Phase 3 trial expected to start in 2026; success could transform revenue outlook. Watch for trial enrollment updates and any partnership announcements.

  • $75M award for four lunar drones; monitor milestone payments and launch schedule. Any delays or cost overruns could impact valuation.

  • Watch for updates on internal controls remediation, including hiring of controller. Any delays could signal deeper issues and affect IPO pricing.

  • Danicamtiv, Ataciguat, and Tonlamarsen clinical trial results; any positive data could drive significant upside. Watch for investor presentations and medical conference abstracts.

  • No price range or size disclosed yet; watch for amended S-1 with terms. GBP/USD rate movements will impact proceeds in USD terms.

  • Crestone SPAC/Target Announcement
    👁

    As a blank check company, any target identification will be a major catalyst. Watch for press releases or 8-K filings regarding potential business combinations.

  • Monitor any changes in customer A concentration or new contract wins. Diversification away from top customers would reduce risk.

Filing Analyses (9)
VARSAL TECH, INC. S-1 mixed materiality 9/10

26-05-2026

VARSAL TECH, INC. filed an S-1 registration statement for an IPO of Class A Common Stock on the NYSE American. The company plans to raise approximately $30 million, allocating $15 million for U.S. specialty chemicals acquisitions and $15 million for a greenfield manufacturing plant in the Middle East (e.g., Saudi Arabia), with a total project cost of ~$100 million. However, the company discloses a material weakness in internal controls, expects substantial increased costs as a public company, and faces risks including potential delisting, stock price volatility, and management's broad discretion over proceeds.

  • · The company has a material weakness in internal controls and has implemented a remediation plan including adding a controller.
  • · The company qualifies as an emerging growth company (EGC) under the JOBS Act and will remain so until the earlier of: fifth anniversary of offering, $1.235B annual revenue, becoming a large accelerated filer, or issuing >$1B in non-convertible debt in three years.
  • · All shares sold in the offering will be freely transferable; pre-offering shares are restricted securities subject to Rule 144 or Rule 701.
  • · Lock-up agreements with underwriters restrict sales for 180 days after prospectus date, with possible waiver by R.F. Lafferty & Co., Inc.
  • · Approximately [●] shares of Class A Common Stock will be available for resale under Rule 144 starting 90 days after prospectus date.
  • · The company has never declared or paid cash dividends and intends to retain all earnings for business development.
  • · No current agreements or commitments for any specific U.S. acquisitions; no ongoing negotiations.
  • · Middle East project funding depends on securing government funds and local financing; no assurance of completion.
  • · NYSE American may apply additional or more stringent listing criteria due to small public offering and large insider holdings.
Kardigan, Inc. S-1 mixed materiality 9/10

26-05-2026

Kardigan, Inc. filed an S-1 registration statement for an initial public offering of voting common stock on The Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol 'KARD'. The company plans to use net proceeds to fund clinical development of Danicamtiv, Ataciguat, and Tonlamarsen, as well as other R&D and general corporate purposes. The filing reveals a net loss of $56.1 million for Q1 2026, widening from $18.0 million in Q1 2025, and a net loss of $191.9 million for FY2025 compared to $88.7 million in FY2024, reflecting escalating operating expenses.

  • · The company has authorized two series of common stock: voting and non-voting; only voting common stock is being offered in the IPO.
  • · Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional number of shares at the public offering price, less underwriting discounts.
  • · Up to 5% of shares are reserved for a directed share program for directors, officers, employees, and other associated persons.
  • · Holders of non-voting common stock (if any) may convert to voting common stock, subject to a 9.99% beneficial ownership cap.
  • · Pro forma net loss per share (basic and diluted) for FY2025 was $(5.04) and for Q1 2026 was $(1.43), reflecting the conversion of preferred stock.
  • · As of March 31, 2026, the company had a stockholders' deficit of $300.6 million on an actual basis, which converts to $296.9 million equity on a pro forma basis after preferred stock conversion.
  • · The company had $81.5 million in cash and cash equivalents and $205.6 million in short-term investments as of March 31, 2026.
  • · Weighted-average exercise price for outstanding stock options under the 2023 Plan as of March 31, 2026 was $5.38 per share; for options granted after that date through May 26, 2026, it was $15.00 per share.
  • · Warrants outstanding as of March 31, 2026 have an exercise price of $21.37 per share.
SOLV Energy, Inc. S-1 mixed materiality 8/10

26-05-2026

SOLV Energy, Inc. filed an S-1 registration statement on May 26, 2026, for its initial public offering. The filing includes financial data showing the company's cost structure, customer concentration, and segment operations across Existing Infrastructure and New Construction. However, the company operates with significant customer concentration risk and multiemployer pension plan exposure, highlighting potential revenue and liability vulnerabilities.

  • · The filing identifies two operating segments: Existing Infrastructure and New Construction.
  • · Key customers included Customer H, Customer C, Customer E, and Customer G in 2024; and Customer C, Customer D, and Customer B in 2025.
  • · Accounts receivable concentration risk exists with Customer A in 2025.
  • · The company participates in multiple multiemployer pension plans including California Ironworkers Field Pension Trust, Construction Laborers Pension Trust for So. California, National Electrical Benefit Fund, and others.
  • · A subsequent event on February 12, 2026, involved common stock issuances (Class A and Class B) and a revolving credit facility amendment with base rate or SOFR-based interest ranging from minimum to maximum rates.
  • · The S-1 includes audited financials for fiscal years 2024 and 2025, and the first quarter of 2026 (through March 31, 2026).
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. S-1 mixed materiality 8/10

26-05-2026

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. filed an S-1 registration statement on May 26, 2026, for its initial public offering. The filing details the company's structure, including its OpCo LLC and various parent entities, and outlines significant related-party transactions, sponsor fees, and debt facilities. The company has a history of net losses and negative retained earnings, indicating ongoing financial challenges.

  • · The filing includes multiple debt facilities: 2023 Term Loan Facility, 2025 Term Loan Facility, and a Senior Secured Revolving Line of Credit.
  • · Related-party transactions include sponsor fees and expenses, revenue from related parties, and operating leases.
  • · The company has a history of net losses and negative retained earnings, with retained earnings of $0 as of March 31, 2026.
  • · The IPO involves Class A common stock, with a follow-on offering also mentioned.
  • · The filing date is May 26, 2026, and the balance sheet date is March 31, 2026.
Crestone Strategic Capital Acquisition Corp S-1 neutral materiality 7/10

26-05-2026

Crestone Strategic Capital Acquisition Corp filed an S-1 registration statement on May 26, 2026, for its initial public offering. The filing details various scenarios for the offering, including the sale of units, private placement shares, and the potential exercise of an over-allotment option, with proceeds and share counts modeled across different redemption levels (0% to 100% of maximum). The company is a blank check company (SPAC) formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination.

  • · The filing includes detailed modeling of ordinary shares outstanding, shares subject to redemption, net proceeds, offering costs, deferred underwriting fees, and overallotment liability under scenarios with and without the over-allotment option and at redemption levels of 0%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% of maximum.
  • · The registration statement was filed on May 26, 2026, with the SEC under CIK 0002136449.
  • · The company is organized as a Limited Liability Company and is based in the Cayman Islands.
SeeQC, Inc. S-4 mixed materiality 9/10

26-05-2026

SeeQC, Inc. filed an S-4 registration statement on May 26, 2026, in connection with its proposed merger with Allegro Merger Corp. Under the agreement, Allegro will merge into a subsidiary of SeeQC, with Allegro stockholders receiving one share of SeeQC common stock per share (with Allegro Rights receiving 1/10th of a share). The transaction is supported by a $65 million PIPE investment at $5.00 per share, and SeeQC's common stock is expected to list on Nasdaq under the ticker 'SEQC'. However, the Allegro Warrant Amendment requires approval from 65% of warrant holders, and as of the filing, only 48.8% have consented, creating execution risk.

  • · The Merger Agreement was entered into on January 16, 2026.
  • · Allegro Warrants not amended will be assumed by SeeQC if the Merger is consummated.
  • · The Allegro Board set a record date of ______, 2026 for written consent solicitation.
  • · The registration statement is preliminary and subject to completion.
  • · SeeQC is classified as a non-accelerated filer, smaller reporting company, and emerging growth company.
  • · SeeQC's SIC code is 7374 (Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation).
Firefly Aerospace Inc. S-1 mixed materiality 9/10

26-05-2026

Firefly Aerospace Inc. filed an S-1 registration statement on May 26, 2026, following its IPO on August 8, 2025. The company highlights its market-leading space and defense technology, including the only commercial fully successful Moon landing, and a $75 million NASA MoonFall award for four drones to the lunar south pole. However, the filing details significant risk factors including failure to achieve profitability, delayed launches, and dependence on major customers and government contracts, with AE Industrial Partners controlling over 50% voting power.

  • · Firefly is the only commercial company to achieve a fully successful Moon landing.
  • · Alpha is the first and only U.S.-based orbital rocket in the 1,000 kg class to reach orbit.
  • · Eclipse, in final development with Northrop Grumman, is expected to deliver 16,000 kg payloads to LEO.
  • · SciTec acquisition closed on October 31, 2025, adding AI-enabled defense software.
  • · MoonFall mission targeted to launch no earlier than 2028.
  • · AE Industrial Partners has the right to designate nominees to the board and controls >50% voting power.
  • · Firefly qualifies as an emerging growth company under the JOBS Act.
  • · Firefly was formed on January 27, 2017, and acquired assets of Firefly Systems Inc. in bankruptcy.
GeoVax Labs, Inc. S-1 mixed materiality 8/10

26-05-2026

GeoVax Labs filed an S-1 registration statement for a proposed IPO. The company reported a net loss of $21.5M for FY2025 (improved from $24.9M in FY2024) and a net loss of $5.3M for Q1 2026 (improved from $5.4M in Q1 2025). Revenue from government contracts declined to $2.5M in FY2025 from $4.0M in FY2024, and to $0 in Q1 2026 from $1.6M in Q1 2025. The company's lead candidate GEO-MVA is advancing to Phase 3 for mpox/smallpox, while Gedeptin is in planning for a Phase 2 trial.

  • · GeoVax has not generated any revenue from product sales; all revenue to date is from government grants and contracts.
  • · The ATI-RRPV Contract was terminated on April 11, 2025, resulting in zero revenue from government contracts in Q1 2026.
  • · GEO-MVA is expected to initiate a Phase 3 trial in 2026, bypassing Phase 1/2 based on EMA scientific advice.
  • · Gedeptin Phase 2 trial targeting HNSCC is planned to start in 2027.
  • · The company is developing a continuous avian cell line manufacturing platform for MVA-based vaccines.
  • · GeoVax's accumulated deficit and going concern status are not explicitly stated but implied by net losses and reliance on external funding.
DPC Holdings Ltd S-1 neutral materiality 8/10

26-05-2026

DPC Holdings Limited filed an S-1 registration statement on May 26, 2026 for its initial public offering of ordinary shares on the NYSE under the symbol 'DPC'. The company is an emerging growth company and has elected to comply with reduced public reporting requirements. The offering size and price range are not yet disclosed, but the company intends to change its name to DPC Holdings PLC prior to the offering.

  • · The company is incorporated in Jersey and its principal executive offices are in Derby, United Kingdom.
  • · The company adopted U.S. GAAP for its financial statements starting with the year ended December 31, 2024; prior periods were under IFRS.
  • · The Federal Reserve Bank noon buying rate for GBP to USD on December 31, 2025 was GBP 0.74 per US$1.00, and on March 29, 2026 was GBP 0.75 per US$1.00.
  • · The company has an ABL Facility with Wells Fargo entered into on March 6, 2020, as amended in August 2022.
  • · The underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase additional ordinary shares.

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