Smart Money / Convergence

When the signals
agree.

The flagship. Convergence fuses congressional trades, superinvestor 13F moves, and corporate insider activity on a shared company — and flags when two or three independent sources lean the same way inside 45 days. No single tracker can see it.

The convergence signal

When a member of Congress buys, several superinvestor funds add, and corporate insiders buy the same stock inside 45 days — that is a convergence.

Illustrative — a hypothetical pattern, not a recommendation.

How it works

Consensus signal

When ≥2 of {congress, 13F, insider} move the same direction on the same company inside a 45-day window — bullish or bearish.

Conflict signal

When sources disagree — for example insiders selling while funds buy — flagged so you can see the tension, not just the agreement.

Convergence score (0–100)

More concurring sources and higher per-source materiality push the score up. A three-source convergence is rare by construction.

The structural moat

Convergence is derived — it fuses the three sources on the shared company entity, which no single-source tracker can replicate. New to the idea? Read what smart-money convergence means.

Intelligence and analysis of public disclosures — not trading advice.

In the briefings

  • This week’s smart-money convergences
  • When Washington, Wall Street, and the C-suite agree
  • Per-stock convergence timelines
  • Conflict watch: when the signals disagree
Browse convergence briefings →

How the score works

Each signal gets a deterministic Convergence Score from 0–100. More concurring sources and higher per-source materiality push it up — so a strong three-source consensus tops the list.

  • Source agreement — three sources beat two; conflict lower up to 40
  • Source materiality — strength of the underlying signals up to 35
  • Breadth — concurring records behind the signal up to 15
  • Signal type — a clean consensus over a conflict up to 10

Frequently asked questions

Is a three-source convergence common?

No — it is rare by construction and scores highest. Most signals are two-source. A clean three-source agreement (Congress, funds, and insiders) is the strongest read.

What is a conflict signal?

When the sources disagree — for example corporate insiders selling while superinvestor funds accumulate. It flags tension rather than agreement, often the more interesting case.

Does convergence predict price?

No. It is an analytical signal about where independent smart-money sources align. It inherits the lags of its inputs and is not investment advice or a recommendation.