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Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) — May 22, 2026

Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+)

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

6 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

This digest covers six civilian agency contract actions totaling $913.4 million, with zero defense-related awards, underscoring a pure civilian-sector procurement story. The dominant theme is border security and IT modernization, led by a $296.8M General Dynamics Information Technology engineering services award from GSA and a $172.0M LMI Consulting border wall quality assurance order from DHS/CBP.

The highest-conviction signal is a sole-source 8(a) award to Akumen, Inc. for $91.7M from the State Department, indicating durable non-competitive revenue. A key risk is the negative outlayed amount (-$13,398) on the GDIT contract, which raises execution status questions, and the high fixed-price risk on the $95.5M Davenport Aviation helicopter order and the $104.4M Carahsoft Salesforce license deal.

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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from May 21, 2026.

Investment Signals (4)

  • Akumen, Inc. Secures $91.7M Sole-Source 8(a) State Department Award (HIGH)

    Akumen's sole-source 8(a) contract for diplomatic technology services provides a non-competitive, high-certainty revenue stream of $91.7M through October 2026, with options potentially raising the ceiling to $134.9M.

  • Carahsoft's $104.4M USDA Salesforce Enterprise License Agreement Signals IT Modernization Spending (MEDIUM)

    Carahsoft's firm-fixed-price delivery order for a Salesforce ELA at USDA, with a $277M ceiling if fully optioned through 2030, indicates active federal cloud/SaaS adoption and potential follow-on orders.

  • DHS/CBP Awards $172.0M to LMI Consulting for Border Wall Quality Assurance (MEDIUM)

    LMI Consulting's firm-fixed-price delivery order for border wall construction quality assurance services, running through February 2029, signals sustained DHS investment in border security infrastructure.

  • GDIT's $296.8M GSA Contract Shows Negative Outlayed Amount, Raising Execution Concerns (MEDIUM)

    General Dynamics Information Technology's $296.8M cost-plus-award-fee delivery order from GSA FAS FEDSIM has a negative outlayed amount of -$13,398, suggesting minimal funding disbursed or accounting adjustments that could indicate execution delays or modifications.

Risk Flags (4)

  • Execution [HIGH RISK]

    Davenport Aviation's $95.5M firm-fixed-price delivery order for 10 H125 helicopters carries high execution risk with $0 outlayed funds as of award date, meaning revenue recognition has not begun and cost overruns could erode margins.

  • Execution [MEDIUM RISK]

    Carahsoft's $104.4M firm-fixed-price Salesforce ELA at USDA passes all cost risk to Carahsoft, with a high pricing risk rating; any overruns in software licensing or implementation directly impact profitability.

  • Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]

    GOVCIO, LLC's $153.1M VA contract has $88.4M already outlayed and 73 subawards totaling $93.9M, indicating heavy subcontractor dependency and potential revenue concentration risk on a single award through March 2026.

  • Budget [MEDIUM RISK]

    LMI Consulting's $172.0M border wall quality assurance contract has no options beyond the base period, limiting upside and making it vulnerable to DHS budget shifts or policy changes on border wall construction.

Opportunities (3)

  • Akumen's $91.7M sole-source 8(a) State Department contract provides a non-competitive revenue base with options up to $134.9M, offering a stable growth platform for this small business in diplomatic IT services.

  • Carahsoft's $104.4M USDA Salesforce ELA, with a $277M ceiling, positions the company for significant revenue expansion if all options are exercised through 2030, reflecting broader federal cloud/SaaS adoption trends.

  • Davenport Aviation's $95.5M H125 helicopter award for CBP border enforcement could lead to follow-on orders for rotary-wing assets as DHS modernizes its air fleet, especially if delivery performance is strong.

Sector Themes (2)

  • Two contracts totaling $267.5M from DHS/CBP—LMI Consulting's $172.0M quality assurance services and Davenport Aviation's $95.5M helicopter procurement—demonstrate sustained investment in border wall construction and aerial enforcement, driving demand for both professional services and hardware.

  • Carahsoft's $104.4M USDA Salesforce ELA and GDIT's $296.8M GSA engineering services contract highlight federal agencies' continued shift to cloud-based enterprise software and professional engineering support, with combined value exceeding $400M.

Watch List (4)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"General Dynamics Information Technology, Inc.", "reason"=>"The $296.8M GSA contract has a negative outlayed amount (-$13,398), raising questions about execution status and potential modifications or delays.", "trigger"=>"Next contract modification or outlay data update; contract end date June 2024"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Davenport Aviation Inc", "reason"=>"The $95.5M H125 helicopter award has $0 outlayed funds, making execution and delivery milestones critical for revenue recognition.", "trigger"=>"First delivery milestone or outlay report; CBP budget for rotary-wing assets"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Akumen, Inc.", "reason"=>"The $91.7M sole-source 8(a) State Department contract has options up to $134.9M; option exercise will signal client satisfaction and revenue durability.", "trigger"=>"Option exercise decisions by October 2026; follow-on sole-source awards"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Carahsoft Technology Corp", "reason"=>"The $104.4M USDA Salesforce ELA has a $277M ceiling; option exercise by 2027 will determine revenue expansion.", "trigger"=>"USDA option exercise announcement; recompete of SAP vehicle"}

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