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Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) — June 03, 2026

Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+)

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

2 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

This digest covers two civilian contracts totaling $357.97M, with zero defense-related awards. The dominant theme is non-defense, mission-critical services: Tetra Tech's $218.6M firm fixed-price delivery order from the Department of State for Ukraine humanitarian demining is the highest-conviction signal, offering multi-year revenue visibility and alignment with geopolitical priorities.

The California Institute of Technology's $139.4M cost-no-fee NASA contract for the NuSTAR mission provides stable but low-margin, long-term revenue. Key risks include Tetra Tech's performance risk under a fixed-price contract and the low profitability of Caltech's cost-no-fee arrangement.

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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from May 31, 2026.

Investment Signals (2)

  • Tetra Tech Secures $218.6M Ukraine Demining Contract with $407.6M Ceiling (HIGH)

    Tetra Tech's firm fixed-price delivery order from the Department of State for humanitarian demining in Ukraine provides a multi-year revenue stream of up to $81.5M/year, supported by bipartisan congressional consensus and Ukraine supplemental funding.

  • Caltech's $139.4M NASA NuSTAR Contract Extends Through 2028 (MEDIUM)

    The cost-no-fee contract for the NuSTAR mission provides Caltech with stable, low-risk revenue averaging $7M/year, reinforcing its position in space science R&D and NASA's commitment to small explorer programs.

Risk Flags (2)

  • Execution [HIGH RISK]

    Tetra Tech's $218.6M firm fixed-price contract carries performance risk in the high-conflict Ukraine environment; only $30.4M has been outlaid so far, suggesting potential ramp-up challenges or milestone delays.

  • Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]

    Caltech's $139.4M cost-no-fee NASA contract yields no profit, limiting financial upside despite long-term stability; any cost overruns or schedule delays could impact future awards.

Opportunities (2)

  • Tetra Tech's $218.6M Ukraine demining contract positions the firm for follow-on awards as geopolitical priorities sustain humanitarian assistance funding; the $407.6M ceiling suggests potential for additional task orders.

  • Caltech's long-term NASA contract demonstrates institutional trust and mission criticality, potentially leading to future space science R&D awards as NASA continues investing in small explorer programs.

Sector Themes (1)

  • Both contracts are civilian: Tetra Tech's State Department demining aligns with geopolitical humanitarian priorities, while Caltech's NASA contract supports long-term space science R&D, highlighting stable non-defense procurement.

Watch List (2)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Tetra Tech, Inc.", "reason"=>"The $218.6M Ukraine demining contract has only $30.4M outlaid, indicating potential acceleration or delays; performance risk is high due to fixed-price nature and conflict zone.", "trigger"=>"Quarterly earnings reports for backlog and revenue recognition; U.S. supplemental funding announcements for Ukraine"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"California Institute of Technology", "reason"=>"The $139.4M cost-no-fee NASA contract provides stable but low-margin revenue; any cost overruns or schedule delays could affect future awards.", "trigger"=>"NASA budget releases for space science; contract modifications or extensions beyond 2028"}

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