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All HHS Contracts — August 27, 2026

All HHS Contracts

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

1 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

The single contract analyzed, valued at $116.8 million in initial obligation, is entirely civilian, awarded by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) to Noridian Healthcare Solutions, LLC. The total potential value of $573.6 million over up to 10 years provides significant long-term revenue visibility, with the cost-plus award fee structure reducing profit risk for the contractor.

The highest-conviction signal is the stable, mandatory nature of the Medicare Fee-For-Service program, which insulates funding from discretionary budget cuts. A key risk is the reliance on option exercise and performance metrics to realize the full contract value, as well as the lack of a competitive moat given the full-and-open competition.

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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior All HHS Contracts digest from August 12, 2026.

Investment Signals (1)

  • Noridian Healthcare Solutions Secures $116.8M CMS Medicare Contract with $573.6M Ceiling (MEDIUM)

    Noridian won a cost-plus award fee contract from CMS for Medicare Fee-For-Service support, with an initial obligation of $116.8 million and a total potential value of $573.6 million over up to 10 years. The cost-plus structure ensures stable margins and reduces earnings risk.

Risk Flags (2)

  • Execution [MEDIUM RISK]

    The contract's long-term value depends on option exercise and Noridian's performance metrics, which determine award fee amounts. Poor performance could reduce realized margins.

  • Competition [MEDIUM RISK]

    The contract was awarded via full and open competition with no set-aside, indicating no preferential market position. Future recompetes could threaten Noridian's incumbency.

Opportunities (1)

  • Noridian's win reinforces the stable revenue stream from CMS Medicare administration, a mandatory entitlement program with consistent funding. The 10-year potential duration offers long-term visibility.

Sector Themes (1)

  • Medicare Fee-For-Service contracts provide predictable, multi-year revenue streams insulated from discretionary budget volatility, as evidenced by Noridian's $573.6M ceiling contract. This contrasts with defense contracts subject to Continuing Resolution risk.

Watch List (2)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Noridian Healthcare Solutions, LLC", "reason" => "The contract's total potential value of $573.6M represents a material revenue stream, but realization depends on option exercise and performance.", "trigger" => "Option exercise announcements (next likely at end of base period); any protest filings"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "CMS Medicare administrative contractors sector", "reason" => "This award signals continued CMS spending on FFS administration; watch for similar awards to peers (e.g., Palmetto GBA, CGS Administrators).", "trigger" => "Future CMS contract awards or recompetes under Medicare FFS"}

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