Executive Summary
These 10 significant contract modifications total $3,349,099,541 in obligations, with 0/10 defense-related—all civilian agencies including State, DHS, DOE, HHS, Treasury, NASA, USAID, PBGC, and Commerce. Dominant themes are long-duration IT, professional services, and specialized equipment contracts, heavily weighted toward small businesses via set-asides or open competition.
Highest-conviction bullish signal is XATOR LLC's $2,309,491,422 Department of State award (materiality 8/10), providing massive revenue potential despite sparse details. UNWIN CO's $213,772,540 DOE set-aside and SOFTRAMS LLC's $88,157,680 HHS delivery order further highlight small-business growth in security and healthcare IT. Key risk: stalled outlays on historical contracts like General Dynamics Information Technology's $329,952,976 DHS award (ended 2015, $0 outlayed). Watch option exercises and remaining obligations across long-term deals through 2032.
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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from April 14, 2026.
Investment Signals (7)
- XATOR LLC Secures $2.31B Department of State Contract (HIGH)▲
XATOR LLC awarded $2,309,491,422 obligation from Department of State, representing ~69% of the batch total and highest materiality (8/10). Provides substantial revenue visibility for the contractor in an otherwise diverse civilian mix.
- UNWIN CO Lands $213.8M DOE Small Business Set-Aside (HIGH)▲
UNWIN CO, a small business, awarded $213,772,540 definitive contract (base + options $216,126,649) by DOE Headquarters for security studies, with $178,630,900 outlayed through 2026-04-13. Signals dedicated funding and strong execution (materiality 8/10).
- SOFTRAMS LLC Wins $88.2M HHS CMS Delivery Order (MEDIUM)▲
SOFTRAMS LLC, HUBZone small business, received $88,157,680 firm-fixed-price delivery order (ceiling $195,527,844) from HHS CMS for Quality Payment Program IT, with $56,978,236 outlayed to 2029 potential. Major revenue for healthcare IT (materiality 8/10).
- CLOUDSHAPE LLC Gains $64.2M USAID Data Center Order to 2032 (HIGH)▲
CLOUDSHAPE LLC, small disadvantaged business, awarded $64,166,604 firm-fixed-price delivery order (ceiling $150,402,349) by USAID for data center support, $32,892,397 outlayed through 2032-12-31. Long-term IT revenue visibility (materiality 8/10).
- Bluewater Federal Solutions (Tetra Tech Sub) Hits $80M DOE IT Obligation (MEDIUM)▲
Bluewater Federal Solutions, Inc. (Tetra Tech subsidiary), awarded $80,013,310 time-and-materials delivery order (ceiling $96,920,035) by DOE for IT support, $62,783,185 outlayed to 2026-09-19. Steady execution benefits parent (materiality 7/10).
- General Dynamics IT DHS Contract Stalled at $0 Outlay Post-2015 (HIGH)▲
General Dynamics Information Technology's $329,952,976 cost-plus-fixed-fee DHS USCIS order (ceiling $358,144,818) ended 2015-09-25 with $0 outlayed despite 47% subawards planned. Neutral signal flags no current activity.
- Lockheed Martin Tiny $73K NOAA Purchase Order (LOW)▲
Lockheed Martin Corporation's $73,614 firm-fixed-price NOAA order for aircraft upgrade (ceiling $428,139) starts 2026-04-14 with $0 outlayed; negligible for large cap.
Risk Flags (3)
- Execution [HIGH RISK]▼
General Dynamics Information Technology's $329.9M DHS contract has $0 outlayed despite 2011 award and 2015 end date, with 20 subawards totaling $156.6M planned but inactive.
- Budget [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Multiple firm-fixed-price contracts (e.g., SOFTRAMS LLC $88.2M HHS, KOENIG & BAUER $128.5M Treasury) carry high pricing risk, with uneven outlays like $57M/$88M for SOFTRAMS.
- Execution [LOW RISK]▼
Lockheed Martin $73.6K Commerce NOAA order has $0 outlayed at 2026-04-13 award, testing early performance on small base with options to $428K.
Opportunities (3)
- ◆
UNWIN CO's $213.8M DOE time-and-materials set-aside through 2026-04-13 offers ~$35M remaining obligation for security consulting.
- ◆
CLOUDSHAPE LLC's $64.2M USAID data center order (ceiling $150.4M) to 2032-12-31 provides decade-long IT revenue for small disadvantaged business.
- ◆
Bluewater Federal Solutions (Tetra Tech sub) $80M DOE IT delivery order (ceiling $96.9M) via small business exclusion, with $62.8M outlayed to 2026.
Sector Themes (2)
- ◆
Small businesses like SOFTRAMS LLC ($88M HHS), CLOUDSHAPE LLC ($64M USAID), and Bluewater Federal ($80M DOE) dominate with set-aside or open awards for IT/programming/data center support, outlays averaging 70%+ executed.
- ◆
DOE awards to UNWIN CO ($213.8M security set-aside to 2026) and Bluewater ($80M IT to 2026) show sustained headquarters spending on studies/analysis and engineering.
Watch List (4)
- 👁
{"entity"=>"XATOR LLC", "reason"=>"$2.31B State Dept obligation lacks revenue/pricing/outlay details; highest batch materiality.", "trigger"=>"outlay reporting, annual revenue estimates"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"General Dynamics Information Technology", "reason"=>"$330M DHS obligation with $0 outlayed post-2015 end date signals dormancy.", "trigger"=>"modifications or extensions beyond 2015-09-25"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"CLOUDSHAPE LLC", "reason"=>"$64M USAID obligation (ceiling $150M) with $33M outlayed to 2032 offers long-term upside.", "trigger"=>"option exercises toward $150M"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Tetra Tech, Inc.", "reason"=>"Bluewater sub's $80M DOE IT with $63M outlayed to 2026-09-19.", "trigger"=>"options to $96.9M ceiling"}
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