Executive Summary
This digest synthesizes $4,176,750,195 in significant civilian contract modifications (0/6 defense-related) across DHS, HHS, VA, and USAID for the period May 13-13, 2026. Dominant agency themes include massive HHS commitments to vaccine developers ($1.26B to BAVARIAN NORDIC A/S and $310M across two awards to ALBERT B.
SABIN VACCINE INSTITUTE, INC.) and large VA/DHS IT/construction plays ($810M Booz Allen Hamilton VA IT services; $1.72B Southwest Valley Constructors DHS). Highest-conviction bullish signal is Booz Allen Hamilton's $809.8M VA time-and-materials IT delivery order with $317.9M already outlayed and low pricing risk over 5+ years. Key risk/watch item: outlay pacing on long-term contracts (e.g., Sabin's HHS awards with $150.7M outlayed vs. $310M obligated; Nelson's $72.6M USAID with only $10.7M outlayed).
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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from May 10, 2026.
Investment Signals (4)
- Southwest Valley Constructors Secures $1.72B DHS Modification (MEDIUM)▲
Southwest Valley Constructors Co. received a $1,720,040,000 modification from DHS on 2026-05-11, signaling strong civilian infrastructure commitment with high materiality (8/10).
- Bavarian Nordic A/S Lands $1.26B HHS Award Modification (MEDIUM)▲
BAVARIAN NORDIC A/S awarded $1,264,240,981 modification from HHS (orig. 2017-08-24), indicating sustained health/biotech funding support.
- Booz Allen Hamilton Gains $810M VA IT Services Modification (HIGH)▲
Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. has $809,754,946 fully committed VA delivery order (time-and-materials, $317.9M outlayed) for IT operations transformation through 2025-01-22, supporting ~$140-145M annual revenue with low pricing risk.
- Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute's Dual HHS Vaccine Contracts Total $310M (MEDIUM)▲
$163M (2022) + $147M (2019) HHS modifications for ebolavirus vaccine R&D/manufacturing through 2030, with $150.7M outlayed and potential to $391M including options.
Risk Flags (3)
- Execution [HIGH RISK]▼
Nelson Environmental Remediation USA Ltd. faces high pricing risk on $72.6M firm-fixed-price USAID dioxin remediation contract with only $10.7M (15%) outlayed early in 6.6-year period.
- Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Nonprofit Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute, Inc. holds two HHS contracts totaling $310M but lacks direct equity exposure as tax-exempt entity.
- Budget [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Booz Allen Hamilton's $810M VA IT order has $492M remaining post-$317.9M outlay, vulnerable to VA budget pacing through 2025-01-22 end date.
Opportunities (3)
- ◆
Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute's HHS contracts offer upside via option exercises from $310M obligated to $391M ceiling for ebolavirus vaccine manufacturing/R&D.
- ◆
Booz Allen Hamilton's VA IT services could see extensions/modifications beyond $810M as $318M outlayed supports steady ~$140M annual revenue.
- ◆
Nelson Environmental Remediation USA Ltd. (Small Disadvantaged Business) benefits from $72.6M USAID remediation award via full/open competition.
Sector Themes (2)
- ◆
HHS awarded $1.57B+ across BAVARIAN NORDIC A/S ($1.26B) and Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute ($310M total) for ebolavirus/Marburg vaccines, with long durations to 2030 and $213M outlayed.
- ◆
Booz Allen Hamilton's $810M time-and-materials VA delivery order (full/open competition, $318M outlayed) underscores multi-year IT transformation commitment.
Watch List (4)
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. (BAH)", "reason"=>"$809.8M VA IT order with $317.9M outlayed; track remaining $492M for revenue recognition.", "trigger"=>"outlay progress; modifications to 2025-01-22 end date"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute, Inc.", "reason"=>"Dual HHS contracts totaling $310M (potential $391M) with $150.7M outlayed for vaccine R&D.", "trigger"=>"option exercises; outlays beyond $150.7M"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Nelson Environmental Remediation USA Ltd.", "reason"=>"$72.6M USAID firm-fixed-price with high pricing risk and low 15% outlay.", "trigger"=>"outlay beyond $10.7M; 2029-06-29 completion"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"BAVARIAN NORDIC A/S", "reason"=>"$1.26B HHS modification signals biotech durability.", "trigger"=>"subaward/outlay updates"}
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