Executive Summary
The five contract modifications from June 5, 2026, totaling $283.8M, are heavily weighted toward civilian agencies (two NASA, one USDA, two DHS), with no pure Department of Defense awards.
The dominant theme is civilian technology and border security infrastructure, driven by a $99.4M USDA financial system support award to Deloitte Consulting and an $86.1M border surveillance tower consolidation contract to ElbitAmerica. Highest-conviction signals are bullish for Analytical Mechanics Associates ($94.2M NASA R&D) and ElbitAmerica, though the latter carries execution risk due to fixed-price pricing. A key risk is the extremely high concentration of total value in just two contracts (Deloitte and Analytical Mechanics represent 68% of aggregate obligations), making the digest vulnerable to single-contract disruption. Lockheed Martin's two awards are collectively immaterial at under $4M total, signaling no new large-scale defense momentum from this batch.
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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from June 04, 2026.
Investment Signals (4)
- Analytical Mechanics Associates wins $94.2M NASA R&D contract reinforcing small-business incumbent position (MEDIUM)▲
This cost-plus-fixed-fee award, set aside for small businesses and running through March 2025, provides predictable, low-margin-risk revenue ($9.4M annualized) and strengthens Analytical Mechanics' competitive moat in NASA's entry systems technology niche.
- ElbitAmerica secures $86.1M DHS border surveillance contract demonstrating competitive win in border tech (MEDIUM)▲
The firm-fixed-price delivery order, competed fully and openly, validates ElbitAmerica's surveillance tower consolidation capabilities for Customs and Border Protection, with $114.5M potential total value through May 2029. Annual revenue impact is ~$28.7M, material for the subsidiary.
- Deloitte Consulting's $99.4M USDA delivery order signals civilian agency modernization demand (LOW)▲
The labor-hours contract for financial system support, awarded under full competition with no set-aside, shows sustained federal demand for Deloitte's IT and financial management services, with $19.9M annualized revenue, though labor-hours pricing introduces margin risk.
- Lockheed Martin's two contract awards worth only $3.97M indicate no new defense spending in this batch (HIGH)▲
Neither of Lockheed's awards is material (<0.01% of revenue), and the largest ($3.25M) is a non-competitive NASA R&D contract. This reflects no near-term defense procurement trigger for investors from these records.
Risk Flags (4)
- Execution [HIGH RISK]▼
ElbitAmerica's $86.1M firm-fixed-price contract has zero outlays to date, meaning full cost-overrun risk is on the contractor. Border surveillance tower consolidation is complex, and execution delays could erode margins.
- Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]▼
The two largest contracts (Deloitte at $99.4M and Analytical Mechanics at $94.2M) represent 68% of the aggregate $283.8M. Any modification, protest, or termination to either would materially skew the digest outcome.
- Budget [MEDIUM RISK]▼
USDA financial system support (Deloitte) and NASA R&D (Analytical Mechanics) are both civilian discretionary programs vulnerable to continuing resolutions or appropriations delays, especially if the government enters a CR in October 2026.
- Regulatory [LOW RISK]▼
ElbitAmerica is a foreign-owned (Israeli parent Elbit Systems Ltd) contractor. Policy changes regarding foreign-owned entities in homeland security contracts could threaten future awards or option exercises.
Opportunities (3)
- ◆
Deloitte's $99.4M USDA contract for financial system support signals ongoing modernization across civilian agencies. Investors should watch for similar USDA IT support re-competes, particularly around financial management and supply chain systems.
- ◆
ElbitAmerica's border surveillance win could lead to larger DHS acquisition programs for Integrated Fixed Towers (IFT) or aerostat radar systems, given Lockheed's tiny $723K aerostat radar purchase order indicates ongoing DHS interest.
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Analytical Mechanics' $94.2M small business set-aside at NASA shows strong and durable small-business R&D opportunities in space technology, particularly in entry systems. This could be a catalyst for other small defense tech primes.
Sector Themes (3)
- ◆
Deloitte's $99.4M USDA contract for financial system support is indicative of ongoing, non-discretionary modernization investments in civilian agencies. The labor-hours structure allows agencies to flexibly manage scope without new procurement vehicles.
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ElbitAmerica's $86.1M tower consolidation award and Lockheed's $723K aerostat radar purchase order, both from DHS/CBP, point to a dual-track approach: upgrading fixed infrastructure and maintaining airborne surveillance. No other agency spent this amount on border tech in this batch.
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Analytical Mechanics Associates' $94.2M cost-plus-fixed-fee contract for entry systems technology R&D, set aside for small businesses, demonstrates NASA's strategy of building long-term, low-risk partnerships with specialized small contractors in areas critical for space exploration.
Watch List (4)
- 👁
{"entity"=>"ElbitAmerica", "reason"=>"The $86.1M border surveillance contract is material to the subsidiary, but zero outlays and fixed-price structure create execution risk. Option exercises could add $28.4M in potential value.", "trigger"=>"First outlay data reported in FPDS; DHS option exercise decision before May 2029; DHS budget request for FY2027 border surveillance"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Deloitte Consulting", "reason"=>"The $99.4M USDA contract is Deloitte's largest in this batch and shows civilian IT demand. However, $78.1M already outlaid means only ~$21.3M remains, and the contract runs through 2027.", "trigger"=>"USDA re-compete or modification announcements; Deloitte federal Q3 2026 earnings for contract backlog disclosure"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Lockheed Martin", "reason"=>"Though both contracts are immaterial, the company's lack of large defense awards in this batch signals investors should not use these records as indicators of near-term defense momentum.", "trigger"=>"Larger DHS or NASA Lockheed awards appearing in subsequent FPDS batches; Q3 2026 earnings for major defense contract updates"}
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Analytical Mechanics Associates", "reason"=>"The $94.2M NASA R&D contract is the company's largest identifiable award and runs through March 2025. Re-compete risk is high if NASA changes small-business set-aside strategy.", "trigger"=>"NASA pre-solicitation notice for Entry Systems and Technology Division contract; March 2025 contract end date"}
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